(even a broken clock is right twice a day — but they’ve been wrong every time they said we’d finally reached the top and didn’t during the past five years.)
金融邮报:Why real estate doomsayers continue to be wrong
“There is no bubble so I don’t know how it can burst. Each time I share this view with the media, the story dies. So many journalists embark to prove an assumption that is false.”
“The media has gone out of their way to tell people that the market is going to collapse,” McKellar says. “The good news is that the readers aren’t listening and people are still buying.”
BMO Capital Markets Economics Senior Economist Mr. Sal Guatieri:
Aug 23, 2013
"All in, we suspect there is sufficient overbuilding in Toronto’s condo market to depress prices moderately in coming years,
though probably not enough to trigger a material correction, barring a recession or further spike in mortgage rates. "
大多公寓明显建筑过剩,将造成价格下跌几年。 若利息继续攀升,或是经济更不景气,那跌幅将更加严重。
"For people looking for a place to live, unless you believe prices can keep pace with inflation in coming years
—a dubious prospect given the oncoming supply—you are probably better off renting"
除非你认为房价未来几年会跟着通货膨胀上涨 (但这是不大可能的事了),不然租房会是你较好的选择。
__________________
GreaterFool 大傻的温哥华房市分析站
First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.
maomao88 : 2013-09-05#17
回复: 为什么加拿大地产灾难论的人总是猜错?
砖家们都打架,
俺们这些匪兵甲,路人乙何去何从妮,
rosemaryma : 2013-09-05#18
回复: 为什么加拿大地产灾难论的人总是猜错?
多伦多地产商会:大多区8月房屋交易量涨21%
根据多伦多地产商会(Toronto Real Estate Board)发布的消息,今年8月份大多地区房屋交易量,比去年同期暴涨21%。该月通过MLS系统的房屋交易量有7,569宗,而2012年8月则为66,249宗。
认为房价会下跌的人,总是在提一件事:今明两年多伦多CONDO大量交房,CONDO市场将出现灾难性的的崩盘。如果我不是业内人士,恐怕我也会相信这种说法。但实际情况却让人非常吃惊。很多人都知道一个叫做King West的CONDO楼盘,总共三栋楼,1000多个单元,http://www.pureplaza.com/index.php?s=community-3地址是65 East Liberty St,75 East Liberty St 和85 East Liberty St,这些公寓单元在8月19日至9月10日短短20天内一起交收。从常理上想,当地的房价和租金会受到供应量突然加大的负面影响。可事实正好相反,这些单元在非常短的时间里,无声无息地被消化了。更让人吃惊的是,很多人认为投资楼花会被套住,但你看到当时这些买家的成交价和现在的租金的时候,你会清楚地知道,投资楼花,收益非常好。如此好的收益,套住的时间越长越好,我是指套住租客。